This is why the outbreak may not end as soon as we thought: Forecasting coronavirus (The lancet)
Forecasting Wuhan coronavirus outbreak(The Lancet): Will the outbreak ever end? Doctor explains This is up to date to 11th Feb 2020, and it subject to change. In this video I try to dissect and translate the lancet journal article: Nowcasting and forecasting the potential domestic and international spread of the 2019-nCoV outbreak originating in Wuhan, China: a modelling study